Friday, April 29, 2011

Forex Ambush

Forex Ambush 2.0 relies on technologies which was a lengthy time within the creating – developed by a group of 31 skilled traders, back-tested, retested – and continuously upgraded and evolved until the Forex Ambush 2.0 produced 100% accurate outcomes consistently to the satisfaction of Forex Ambush 2.0. As the Foreign Exchange currency market fluctuates, often quite a few times in each day, Forex Ambush 2.0 send out signals to its members, either by e-mail or by SMS, advising regardless of whether to sell or obtain based on the signal. These signals take place in real time, as the currency fluctuation happens and as Forex Ambush 2.0 actually trades.

The actual signals from Forex Ambush Software translate into “pips” and, since the signals are occurring at the precise minute that Forex Ambush 2.0 trades, you must be at your pc to access these signals and act upon them – should you opt for to do so. If your mobile phone is able to support the Forex software program, you can obtain the Forex Ambush 2.0 signals on your cell phone anywhere within the world and act on the signals received.

When trading in Foreign Exchange markets (Forex), the currency will be the “pip”. Forex Ambush 2.0 supports a trailing pip of 5, but some Forex software won’t support a trailing pip of below 15. Forex Ambush 2.0 have, nevertheless, thought of this and factored it in, with “expert advisor” software program which might be installed separately. This software program was developed for MetaTrader employing a 5 pip trailing quit.

Forex Ambush 2.0 function with a 5 pip trailing profit along with a 20 pip take profit. Stop loss just isn’t utilized with Forex Ambush 2.0. Fundamentally, without having going into too much confusing detail, if the signal falls between five pips and 20 pips, Forex Ambush 2.0 advises you to trade. If it falls outside of that, Forex Ambush 2.0 advises you not to trade. Basically, the automated trailing stop as well as the take profit will close the trade for you. Forex Ambush 2.0 advises you to by no means close a trade manually – leave your Forex software program running and your pc on and Forex Ambush 2.0 Software is developed to do the rest.

Forex Pivot Point Calculators

In the Forex trading the technique of Pivot has been used for an extended time period. The trader used to apply this strategy to develop a thought process on the market path with the help of some easy computations

Forex Pivot Point

Forex Pivot Point

The Forex pivot point is actually the echelon where the path of market alters for a particular day. This is calculated with the application of easy arithmetic formulas. Besides this, the preceding day’s high, low and close points are also taken into consideration

These points can offer decisive support and resistance levels. Hence the pivot level, support and resistance levels computed with the help of these points jointly denoted by the terminology of pivot points.

Popularity of Pivot Points in Forex Market

The pivot points are well liked in the Forex trading market, because they offer the market prognosis.

You can apply the preceding day details to compute the prospective turning points on the existing day. Since large number of traders track these pivot points, hence the market generally respond at these levels.

Forex Pivot Calculator

Forex Pivot Calculator

Pivot point can be considered as an echelon where the traders response alters from bull to bear (bull and bear are the market terms to depict high and low activity). The computation of Forex pivot is not difficult at all. In fact, you will be able to locate a number of pivot calculators available on internet. With the help of these calculators, you can very quickly calculate the pivot point. The formula to compute pivot point is pretty easy

Resistance 3 = High + 2 ´ (Pivot – Low)
Resistance 2 = Pivot + (R1 – S1)
Resistance 1 = 2 ´ Pivot – Low
Pivot Point = (High + Close + Low )/3
Support 1 = 2 ´ Pivot – High
Support 2 = Pivot – (R1 – S1)
Support 3 = Low – 2 ´ (High – Pivot)

Hence, with the help of this Forex pivot calculator, if you have the following points

High Point: 1.2297
Low Point: 1.2213
Close Point: 1.2249

You will get the following figures with the above given formula

Resistance 3 = 1.2377
Resistance 2 = 1.2337
Resistance 1 = 1.2293
Pivot Point = 1.2253
Support 1 = 1.2209
Support 2 = 1.2169
Support 3 = 1.2125

What does it indicate?

Keeping in view the above, if you acquire the preceding day’s high, low and close levels, you will obtain 7 points, i.e. three support levels, three resistance levels and one actual pivot point. If the market starts at more than the pivot point, then it signifies an extensive trading activity for that day. If market starts less than the pivot point, then short trades can be predicted on that day

Pivot points are the frequently utilized initiators for trading systems. If you have Forex pivot calculator, then you will find a great deal of assistance in your trading activities.

The Forex market has no specific opening or closing times; hence the most practical solution to consider the opening of market at 00:00 GMT (Greenwich Mean Time) and closing at 23:59 GMT.

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Icelandic Kronur: Lessons from a Failed Carry Trade

A little more than two years ago, the Icelandic Kronur was one of the hottest currencies in the world. Thanks to a benchmark interest rate of 18%, the Kronur had particular appeal for carry traders, who worried not about the inherent risks of such a strategy. Shortly thereafter, the Kronur (as well as Iceland’s economy and banking sector) came crashing down, and many traders were wiped out. Now that a couple of years have passed, it’s probably worth reflecting on this turn of events.


At its peak, nominal GDP was a relatively modest $20 Billion, sandwiched between Nepal and Turkmenistan in the global GDP rankings. Its population is only 300,000, its current account has been mired in persistent deficit, and its Central Bank boasts a mere $8 Billion in foreign exchange reserves. That being the case, why did investors flock to Iceland and not Turkmenistan?

The short answer to that question is interest rates. As I said, Iceland’s benchmark interest rate exceeded 18% at its peak. There are plenty of countries that offered similarly high interest rates, but Iceland was somehow perceived as being more stable. While it didn’t apply to join the European Union (its application is still pending) until last year, Iceland has always benefited from its association with Europe in general, and Scandinavia in particular. Thanks to per capita GDP of $38,000 per person, its reputation as a stable, advanced economy was not unwarranted.

On the other hand, Iceland has always struggled with high inflation, which means its interest rates were never very high in real terms. In addition, the deregulation of its financial sector opened the door for its banks to take huge risks with deposits. Basically, depositors – many from outside the country – parked their savings in Icelandic banks, which turned around and invested the money in high-yield / high-risk ventures. When the credit crisis struck, its banks were quickly wiped out, and the government chose not to follow in the footsteps of other governments and bail them out.


Moreover, it doesn’t look like Iceland will regain its luster any time soon. Its economy has shrunk by 40% over the last two years, and one prominent economist has estimated that it will take 7-10 years for it to fully recover. Unemployment and inflation remain high even though interest rates have been cut to 4.25% – a record low. The Kronur has lost 50% of its value against the Dollar and the Euro, the stock market has been decimated, and the recent decision to not remunerate Dutch and British insurance companies that lost money in Iceland’s crash will only serve to further spook foreign investors. In short, while the Kronur will probably recover some of its value over the next few years (aided by the possibility of joining the Euro), it probably won’t find itself on the radar screens of carry traders anytime soon.

In hindsight, Iceland’s economy was an accident waiting to happen, and the global financial crisis only magnified the problem. With Iceland – as well as a dozen other currencies and securities – investors believed they had found the proverbial free lunch. After all, where else could you earn an 18% by putting money in a savings account? Never mind that inflation was just as high; with the Kronur rising, carry traders felt assured that they would make a tidy profit on any funds deposited in Iceland.

The collapse of the Kronur, however, has shown us that the carry trade is anything but risk-free. In fact, 18% is more than what lenders to Greece and Ireland can expect to earn, which means that it is ultimately a very risky investment. In this case, the 18% that was being paid to depositors were generated by making very risky investments. As the negotiations with the insurance companies have revealed, depositors had nothing protecting them from bank failure, which is ultimately what happened.
Now that the carry trade is making a comeback, it’s probably a good time to take a step back and re-assess the risks of such a strategy. Even if Iceland proves to be an extreme case – since most countries won’t let their banks fail – traders must still acknowledge the possibility of massive currency depreciation. In other words, even if the deposits themselves are guaranteed, there is an ever-present risk that converting that deposit back into one’s home currency will result in losses. That’s especially true for a currency that is as illiquid as the Kronur (so illiquid that it took me a while to even find a reliable quote!), and is susceptible to liquidity crunches and short squeezes.

When you enter into a carry trade, understand that a spike in volatility could wipe out all of your profits in one session. The only way to minimize your risk is to hedge your exposure.